Systematic Long Short
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My Obsession With Predicting The World
Introduction
May 13
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April 2026
How To Stop Losing Money To DeFi Hacks
Building @openforage and reading the myriad hacks of DeFi protocols have put the fear of "state actors" in me. They are sophisticated, well-resourced…
Apr 27
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Quantitative Trading Is Going To Eat All Markets
Quantitative trading has always had two hard limits: events that are too fuzzy to quantify, and events too rare to backtest. LLMs collapse both…
Apr 20
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Being Front-Run On DEXes
I've been thinking about executing large portfolios on decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid.
Apr 13
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How To Build A Quantitative Model For Selecting Start-Ups
A field of study that has always been really interesting to me is being able to predict which start-ups are going to succeed — because it feels like…
Apr 3
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March 2026
Crypto Is A Bet On Humanity's Ceaseless Desire For Progress
Betting on crypto has essentially become representative of a bet that humanity will continue to seek acceleration in our processes. That seems like an…
Mar 31
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How To Solve Problems Of Long Running Autonomous Agentic Engineering
If you want to design a harness for really long-running autonomous systems, you should understand the following deeply.
Mar 29
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How To Build Autonomous Agents That Can Survive And Thrive
The TLDR here is that if you want agents that can survive autonomously (as in - without help from a human) - your best bet is to rewire their brain via…
Mar 29
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Some Common Mistakes Beginner Quants Make
This has been a surprisingly popular request - an article on all the common mistakes beginner quants make. In my experience managing starry-eyed…
Mar 24
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Your Agents Produce Slop Because You're Poor
Most agent failures are not mysterious. They are what happens when a system is forced to commit before it has searched, checked, or tested enough. This…
Mar 21
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Institutional Dataset: Crowdsourced Forward Expectations
Today’s article is a particularly interesting dataset for those of you working in the equities space. We have a dataset that represents a live market…
Mar 19
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Automated Alpha Mining, Not Useless Formula Factories
With our work on OpenForage, many have asked about automated alpha mining, how it works, and how to think about it. Alpha mining is by now at least a…
Mar 17
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